People’s Daily China’s economy can not achieve V rebound through short-term stimulus www.hotavxxx.com

People’s Daily: China’s economy is not possible through short-term stimulus implementation of V rebound in the protracted war lay annihilation (of people) — on economic work put in strategy and tactics for the castle at the end of the central economic work conference to do economic work in 2016, "the strategy of protracted war, tactical lay annihilation war". This is an important strategic thinking, but also a major strategic and tactical issues. Strategy is the strategy to determine the overall situation, tactics is the method to solve local problems. It is strategic question to persist in protracted war. It is tactical problem to fight the war of annihilation. The Party Central Committee, with Comrade Xi Jinping as general secretary, puts the protracted war and the war of annihilation together as a strategic and tactical task in economic work, and requires a good grasp of it, which has very important practical significance. It is the innovative practice of the Chinese Communist Party’s historical wisdom under the realistic conditions, and it is the creative use of Mao Zedong’s military thought in the economic work. A profound understanding and accurate grasp of this strategic thinking and strategic tactics is of great guiding significance for the economic work of 2016 and even longer period. On the strategy of protracted war need to insist on maintaining stability, a good grasp of the rhythm and intensity of the protracted war strategy was put forward by Comrade Mao Zedong, the Anti Japanese war is an important strategic thought we defeated the Japanese invaders. After the outbreak of the 77 incident in 1937, the national anti Japanese War began. At that time, the domestic popular two kinds of wrong views: one is the theory of national subjugation, that war will fail; a quick victory is on, relying on foreign aid to the war quickly. What are the trends and prospects of China’s Anti Japanese War and how to see it? At that time, people’s thoughts were confused and confused. This time, comrade Mao Zedong focused on the wisdom of the whole party, in May 1938 published a famous military philosophy "on protracted war", the scientific analysis of the domestic and international situation, according to the balance of power in Japan, the nature of the war, the popular sentiment, international conditions and other factors, draw correct conclusion: China neither may perish, nor can we. The Anti Japanese war is a protracted war, the final victory of the war to Chinese. The scientific foresight of this thought was proved by the historical course of the war of resistance against japan. At present, in the face of the difficulties and problems in economic work, what should we see and how to do? The central economic work conference, the strategy of "on protracted war" strategy should insist on maintaining stability, a good grasp of the rhythm and intensity". This is an important strategic thought that must be grasped. Why? After more than 30 years of reform and opening up, China’s economy has been deeply integrated into the world economy. China’s development is inseparable from the world, and the development of the world can not do without china. Under such conditions and background, changes in the international situation and external environment can not affect China’s economy. It has been 8 years since the outbreak of the international financial crisis. The trend of the world economic downturn and decline has not been fundamentally reversed, and there is no sign of recovery in the short term and out of the predicament. This is one of them. Second, China’s current economic problems, mainly cyclical, it is impossible to achieve V rebound through short-term stimulus, China’s economy may experience a L type growth stage. We should be ready for protracted war, and dare to experience painful grinding.

人民日报:我国经济不可能通过短期刺激实现V型反弹坚持持久战 打好歼灭战(人民要论)——论做好经济工作的战略和战术曲青山去年底召开的中央经济工作会议针对做好2016年经济工作提出,“战略上坚持持久战,战术上打好歼灭战”。这是一个重要战略思想,也是一个重大战略战术问题。战略是决定全局的策略,战术是解决局部问题的方法。坚持持久战强调的是战略问题,打好歼灭战突出的是战术问题。以习近平同志为总书记的党中央把持久战与歼灭战统筹起来,作为战略战术在经济工作中提出来,并要求把握好,具有十分重要的现实意义。它是中国共产党历史智慧在现实条件下的创新性实践,是毛泽东军事思想在经济工作中的创造性运用。深刻理解和准确把握这一战略思想和战略战术,对于做好2016年乃至更长时期的经济工作具有重要指导意义。战略上坚持持久战需要坚持稳中求进、把握好节奏和力度持久战的战略是毛泽东同志提出来的,是抗日战争中我们打败日本侵略者的一个重要战略思想。1937年七七事变爆发后,全国抗战开始。当时,国内流行着两种错误观点:一种是亡国论,认为战必败;一种是速胜论,认为依赖外援可迅速结束战争。到底中国抗日战争的发展趋势和前景如何,应该怎样去看?当时人们的思想很迷茫、很混乱。这个时候,毛泽东同志集中全党智慧,于1938年5月发表了著名的军事哲学著作《论持久战》,科学分析了国际国内形势,根据中日双方力量对比、战争性质、人心所向、国际条件等因素,得出正确结论:中国既不可能灭亡,也不可能速胜,抗日战争是一场持久战,这场战争的最后胜利属于中国。这个思想的科学预见性被抗日战争的历史进程所证明。当前,面对经济工作中的困难和问题,我们到底应该怎么看、怎么办?中央经济工作会议提出,“战略上坚持持久战”“战略上要坚持稳中求进、把握好节奏和力度”。这是一个必须把握好的重要战略思想。为什么?因为经过30多年的改革开放,我国经济已经深度融入世界经济。中国的发展离不开世界,世界的发展也离不开中国。在这样的条件和背景下,国际形势和外部环境的变化不可能不对我国经济产生影响。国际金融危机爆发至今已有8年,世界经济低迷和下滑的趋势尚未根本扭转,还看不出短期内复苏和走出困境的迹象。这是其一。其二,我国目前经济工作中存在的问题,主要不是周期性的,不可能通过短期刺激实现V型反弹,我国经济可能会经历一个L型增长阶段。我们要做好打持久战的准备,敢于经历痛苦的磨难,适当提高换挡降速的容忍度,先筑底、后回升。要正视困难、明确方向,坚定信心、共同努力,强化体制动力和内生动力,把我国经济增长的巨大潜力转变为现实动力,引领我国经济迈上新台阶。战术上打好歼灭战需要抓住关键点歼灭战的战术也是毛泽东同志提出来的,是土地革命战争及以后我们党领导的人民军队在多次战役战斗中打败敌人、取得胜利的一个重要战术。1927年大革命失败后,毛泽东同志领导秋收起义部队上了井冈山,创建了农村革命根据地。在中央革命根据地的反“围剿”斗争中,毛泽东同志提出了歼灭战的战术。为什么要提出这样一个战术呢?因为敌我力量悬殊。毛泽东同志提出不要打消耗战、击溃战,而要打歼灭战。“对于人,伤其十指不如断其一指;对于敌,击溃其十个师不如歼灭其一个师。”他强调:“歼灭战和集中优势兵力、采取包围迂回战术,同一意义。没有后者,就没有前者。”从总体力量上看,敌强我弱;但在每一个具体的战役或战斗中,如果我们用三倍、四倍、五倍甚至六倍于敌人的力量包围和打击敌人,打歼灭战,就会不断消灭敌人,把敌人一点一点吃掉,最终就会将局部优势逐步扩大、转变成全局和整体优势。那么,在2016年的经济工作中,我们要打好哪几个歼灭战呢?中央经济工作会议强调:“战术上打好歼灭战”“战术上要抓住关键点,主要是抓好去产能、去库存、去杠杆、降成本、补短板五大任务”。这关键的五大任务就是习近平同志强调要做好的五个方面的工作:一是积极稳妥化解产能过剩。按照企业主体、政府推动、市场引导、依法处置的办法,研究制定全面配套的政策体系,因地制宜、分类有序处置,妥善处理保持社会稳定和推进结构性改革的关系。二是帮助企业降低成本。降低制度性交易成本,降低企业税费负担,降低社会保险费,降低企业财务成本,降低电力价格,降低物流成本。三是化解房地产库存。按照加快提高户籍人口城镇化率和深化住房制度改革的要求,通过加快农民工市民化,扩大有效需求,打通供需通道,消化库存,稳定房地产市场。四是扩大有效供给。打好脱贫攻坚战,坚持精准扶贫、精准脱贫。支持企业技术改造和设备更新。培育发展新产业,加快技术、产品、业态等创新。补齐软硬基础设施短板。加大投资于人的力度,使劳动者更好适应变化了的市场环境。继续抓好农业生产,保障农产品有效供给,保障口粮安全,保障农民收入稳定增长。五是防范化解金融风险。对信用违约要依法处置。有效化解地方政府债务风险。加强全方位监管,规范各类融资行为。正确认识和把握战略与战术的辩证关系战略与战术是相互联系、相互制约的,它们是相辅相成的辩证统一关系。如何正确认识和把握战略与战术的关系?对战略与战术应采取什么样的态度,如何运用?毛泽东同志强调,“战略上要藐视敌人,战术上要重视敌人”。这一思想对我们今天做好经济工作具有重要的启迪和指导意义。1946年8月,毛泽东同志提出“一切反动派都是纸老虎”的著名论断。他说,沙皇、希特勒、墨索里尼、日本帝国主义是纸老虎。蒋介石和他的支持者美国反动派也都是纸老虎。原子弹是美国反动派用来吓人的一只纸老虎。在战略上要敢于藐视敌人。但是,在战术上必须重视敌人。后来,他在多次阐述战术问题的重要性时又强调,打仗只能一仗一仗地打,敌人只能一部分一部分地消灭,工厂只能一个一个地盖,农民犁地只能一块一块地犁,就是吃饭也是如此。原子弹又是活的铁的真的老虎,它们会吃人的。从这一点上,建立我们的策略思想和战术思想。对今天的经济工作来讲,战略上坚持持久战,就是要求我们保持战略定力,不能急、不能慌、不能躁、不能冒,要对我国经济的长远发展有信心,要对经受各种风险的长久考验有意志,要对解决困难和问题有耐力;战术上打好歼灭战,就是要求我们突出工作重点,明确主攻方向,聚集问题焦点,把完成好经济工作中的五大任务作为五个战役来打。要做好顶层谋划、基础设计和精心部署,确定时间表、任务书、路线图,有组织、有计划、有步骤地加以推进。要贯通全局、上下同心、左右协调、同向发力,一步步攻坚克难,最终达到我们的预期目标,取得胜利。(作者为中央党史研究室主任)(人民日报)更多精彩内容欢迎搜索关注微信公众号:腾讯财经(financeapp)。相关的主题文章:

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